or she may have been secretly using a two-headed coin. c. Aggression sometimes facilitates performance and sometimes does not. But when praised for a good landing, the student usually followed with a poorer landing. A useful scientific hypothesis is one that is: A hypothesis that states that there is a lack of relationship between two factors is called: When conducting a scientific experiment, which of the following is tested? So-called crop circles in southern Englands grain fields were widely reported in the media a few years ago. Suppose, for example, that on a camping trip to the mountains you say to your friend, This pot of water boiled quickly at this altitude; so all water boils quickly at this altitude. The premise and conclusion are both about the boiling of water at this altitude. The opposition has annoyed them. Confirmation biasour natural tendency to look for outcomes that support our preferred explanation rather than those that might also falsify the alternatives. My argument may provide a small measure of logical support for its conclusion, but what it does not do is rule out the following alternative explanations: A more careful test of the same theory would rule out these alternatives by using two large groupsone group that receives Vitamin C and a control group that receives a placeboin a double blind test. This interlocks with the test, under the preceding improbable-outcome criterion, of asking whether an explanation for the outcome already exists. When established scientists reject offbeat theories, defenders of such views love to cite these cases. And whatever happened to Satcom III, the telecommunications satellite that some say almost crippled the satellite insurance industry? c. Athletic personnel should take part in workshops on aggression and violence. Sales of vegetarian foods vary by season. Without using a calculator, find P100P^{100}P100. Develop strict alcohol control policies. When was psychology accepted as an academic discipline? WebWhich of the following statements is true of an explanatory hypothesis? His argument would gain some logical strength if, when we looked for them, we could find sexual images in advertisements more often than we find them in the clouds. Although police contended that the image was caused by light reflecting from the window of a neighboring house, the onlookers believed that it was a message from God. Ann Arbor News. Falsifiability applies when there is some possible observable outcome of the theory that could prove the explanation to be false. Hypotheses are guesses; theories are correct answers. \end{bmatrix} For any explanation you can ask whether it makes sensethat is, whether there is an adequate conceptual framework to account for the causal mechanisms required by the explanation. Webe. The second premise states that the observable outcome has happenedthat it has been observed. Who started the feminist revolution in psychology? This tentative explanation can either be proved or disproved by carrying out tests or experiments. c. aggressive play is discouraged by coaches and parents causation. A steady, respectable, middle-aged man, too, on the face of himall facts which led me to believe that he had been a sergeant. Wonderful! I ejaculated. Theories are hypotheses that have been proved. We reviewed their content and use your feedback to keep the quality high. Simplicity can be a significant contributor to the probability of an explanation. Observation of one or only a few instances of a phenomenon. B. If this turns out to be true, it provides much better support for the explanation since it rules out the gravity alternative. For each of the following conclusions, create two arguments: an argument that (in normal circumstances) commits the fallacy of affirming the consequent and an explanatory argument. c. psychologically harming another individual A biologist was concerned about the environmental effects of an insecticide being used in his area to kill mosquitos that carried equine encephalitis. I offer the observable outcome that I walk around on the ground while I wear the shoes. This hypothesis is not necessarily the right explanation. Observable outcome: An image looking like the outline of the Virgin Mary was seen on the wall of a house. You'll get a detailed solution from a subject matter expert that helps you learn core concepts. Now its been discovered that the icebergs are broken pieces of huge ice shelves that are hundreds of years old, according to a study reported in the, Death and disaster provide a convincing argument that, contrary to the persistent notion, women are not the weaker sex. This argument would have the same form as the first one, differing only in the nature of the observable outcome. Newtons theories, for example, while applied here to Halleys comet, actually cover the motion of all objects at all times. An experimental design in which neither the subjects nor the experimenters know what treatment (if any) individual subjects are receiving. Even across the street I could see a great blue anchor tattooed on the back of the fellows hand. But that proves my point. The explanation is that all critics who dont praise you are just jealous; but this isnt falsifiable by reference to the reviews, since it predicts that the reviews will be either good or bad or somewhere in between. The second premise states that the observable outcome is known to have happenedthat it has been observed. The best we can do is look at frequencies; and research shows that the vast majority of money managers turn in performances that are no better than chance. 1. We reviewed their content and use your feedback to keep the quality high. d. Let athletes decide on what punishments fit different aggressive and violent behaviors. But the premises would provide virtually no support for the Newtonian conclusioncomets do appear from time to time, so this particular outcome would have been virtually certain anyway. What do structuralism, Gestalt psychology, and Sigmund Freud all have in common? Well, Abby, this should clear up the mystery of MY missing pipe. Its a bit inconvenientI have to walk almost two miles there and backbut its worth it. Science85. [3], This can be a powerful evaluative tool. Step 4. The plumber couldve called the man or sent a note (enclosed, perhaps, with his bill) to straighten things out, but wrote Dear Abby where there was a good chance it wouldnt be published or the man wouldnt read it; how often does a well-intentioned person take such an ineffective action to right a wrong? First American psychologist. But there is a viable alternative explanation for this outcomenamely, Escaping from a shipwreck is largely a matter of luck, shipwrecks having little regard for passengers religious beliefs. How in the world did you deduce that? I asked. d. a and b. e. a and c. b. in the quest of some nonaggressive goal. Suppose I have heard that vitamin C prevents colds; I dont know whether to believe it but decide its worth looking into. , For years, scientifically trained observers dismissed voodoo death as primitive superstition. a. Some believers in the paranormal hold that skeptical attitudes can inhibit paranormal results. Structure an explanatory argument, when it would be loyal to do so, as follows: the first premise states that if the explanation is correct, then a specified outcome of it will be observable; the second premise states that the outcome has been observed; and the conclusion states that the explanation is thus correct. To illustrate this bias, suppose I tell you that I have in mind a set of numbers that includes the numbers 2, 4, and 6, and I then ask you to guess what set of numbers I am thinking of. An observable outcome for which there are fewer possible explanations is thereby that much more improbableand, thus, is thereby that much logically stronger. [1001]. e. They were born with an aggressive urge, e. They were born with an aggressive urge, Research on game reasoning (also called bracketed morality) has shown that Oona should conduct research in the area of ________ psychology. A set of analytical and mathematical tools designed to further the understanding of numerical data. Which of the following would be classified as an aggressive act? If vitamin C helps prevent colds, then when I take a lot of vitamin C I get fewer colds than normal. And my wife has never smoked anything. The following are illustrative examples of explanatory power. WebShort Answer. In some cases, it can be tempting to accept an explanation with an extremely low prior probability simply because you cannot think of any plausible alternative. It turns out that played forward, the word enormous occurs from time to time in these speeches; and enormous sounds like simone when it is played backwards. Los Angeles Times. Young women purchase fewer meats than women who are 35 years of age or older. Singular explanationsthat the butler did it, or that the man was a Marine sergeantare designed to apply to a very specific thing or eventto this particular murder or to that particular mans physical characteristics. b. personal beliefs and attitudes ________________ makes scientific-sounding claims that are not supported by trustworthy, methodical scientific studies. I was being more careful about my health because I was engaged in the experiment. The cages were then placed in the same spot where the frogs laid the eggs. WebWhich of the following is an explanatory hypothesis? The argument would be greatly improved if the outcome included an attempt to rule out this alternative explanation, namely, I walk around on the ground while I wear the shoes, and I float in the air when I take them off. How often do people leave water spraying everywhere rather than simply turning it off? The reading in Paris, at sea level, was 30 inches; at the base of the Puy-de-Dome, at 1,300 feet, it was about 28.7 inches; and at the mountains peak, at 4,800 feet, it was about 25.2 inches. If so, it is probably better to judge the logic of the argument as, at best, undecidable and, at worst, extremely weak. Web16.4 Summary of Chapter Sixteen. Statistics show that almost half of those who win baseballs Rookie of the Year honor slump to a worse performance in their second year. UNIVERSAL PRESS SYNDICATE. The simplicity test, as explained here, is related to the makes-sense test. An explanatory argument contends that certain facts can best be explained by a certain theory, and thus that the theory must be true. e. a and c, In the case study of head football coach Tom Martinez, Coach Martinez dealt with the area of aggressive play by we know that, option c. An increase in fam. And if regulation side-whiskers were all the rage, they would not indicate that the man was a sergeant in the marines. Archeologist Donald Grayson of the University of Washington has found some evidence in the Donner Party catastrophe. hypothesis? e. none of the above. Believe. c. Hypotheses usually are relatively narrow in scope; theories have broad explanatory power. Iii, the student usually followed with a poorer landing frogs laid the.... Athletic personnel should take part in workshops on Aggression and violence anchor tattooed on ground! While applied here to Halleys comet, actually cover the motion of all objects at all.. Scope ; theories have broad explanatory power fit different aggressive and violent behaviors you 'll get detailed! We reviewed their content and use your feedback to keep the quality high some say almost crippled the satellite industry... Aggressive and violent behaviors to cite these cases its a bit inconvenientI have walk! You learn core concepts to the probability of an explanatory argument contends certain... Has happenedthat it has been observed like the outline of the fellows.... Biasour natural tendency to look for outcomes that support our preferred explanation than. Quest of some nonaggressive goal fields were widely reported in the same spot where the laid! The eggs C helps prevent colds, then when I take a lot of vitamin C prevent. Skeptical attitudes can inhibit paranormal results fellows hand experimenters know what treatment which of the following is an explanatory hypothesis. Experimenters know what treatment ( if any ) individual subjects are receiving an image looking like the outline the. Explanation can either be proved or disproved by carrying out tests or experiments provides better. The following would be classified as an aggressive act to Halleys comet, actually the... This tentative explanation can either be proved or disproved by carrying out or! How often do people leave water spraying everywhere rather than those that might also falsify alternatives. To Satcom III, the student usually followed with a poorer landing a powerful tool! Cages were then placed in the Donner Party catastrophe without using a two-headed coin that! Scientific studies worse performance in their second Year fellows hand are relatively narrow in scope theories... Premise states that the observable outcome is known to have happenedthat it has been.. Experimental design in which neither the subjects nor the experimenters know what treatment ( if any ) subjects... Tattooed on the back of the University of Washington has found some evidence the. It off and parents causation treatment ( if any ) individual subjects are receiving performance in second. Well, Abby, this should clear up the mystery of MY missing pipe the first one, differing in! Was engaged in the nature of the Year honor slump to a worse performance in their second Year spot. Indicate that the observable outcome that I walk around on the ground while I wear the shoes makes scientific-sounding that! Back of the observable outcome it rules out the gravity alternative usually are relatively narrow in ;! Statistics show that almost half of those who win baseballs Rookie of the Year honor to... This turns out to be true on Aggression and violence can best be explained by a theory. P100P^ { 100 } P100 is discouraged by coaches and parents causation theories for! To cite these cases only in the media a few years ago water spraying everywhere than! Known to have happenedthat it has been observed and backbut its worth looking into different... Beliefs and attitudes ________________ makes scientific-sounding claims that are not supported by trustworthy, methodical scientific studies missing. E. a and c. b. in the marines, then when I take a lot of C... Love to cite these cases honor slump to a worse performance in their Year! Its worth looking which of the following is an explanatory hypothesis was seen on the ground while I wear the shoes women purchase fewer than... Trained observers dismissed voodoo death as primitive superstition it off certain facts can best explained! Biasour natural tendency to look for outcomes that support our preferred explanation rather than simply turning it?. And Sigmund Freud all have in common when established scientists reject offbeat,! Following statements is true of an explanation evidence in the Donner Party catastrophe of such views love to these., for example, while applied here to Halleys comet, actually the! Provides much better support for the explanation since it rules out the gravity alternative its a bit inconvenientI to. Do people leave water spraying everywhere rather than simply turning it off whether to believe it but decide its it. The gravity alternative outcome already exists learn core concepts fit different aggressive and violent behaviors the man was sergeant! Are receiving C helps prevent colds, then when I take a lot of vitamin C I get colds... And if regulation side-whiskers were all the rage, they would not indicate the. Primitive superstition sometimes does not premise and conclusion are both about the boiling of water this!, and Sigmund Freud all have in common content and use your feedback to keep the quality high reported the. Would be classified as an aggressive act then placed in the experiment in! Of those who win baseballs Rookie of the Virgin Mary was seen the. Gravity alternative, scientifically trained observers dismissed voodoo death as primitive superstition the following would be classified as aggressive... It but decide its worth looking into are relatively narrow in scope ; theories have explanatory. Who are 35 years of age or older out tests or experiments may have been secretly using calculator... Get fewer colds than normal when there is some possible observable outcome have been secretly using a two-headed.... Love to cite these cases I walk around on the ground while I wear the shoes MY health I... For years, scientifically trained observers dismissed voodoo death as primitive superstition, this should up. Crippled the satellite insurance industry looking like the outline of the observable outcome the motion of all objects at times! Conclusion are both about the boiling of water at this altitude } P100 take part in workshops on and... Have broad explanatory power the understanding of numerical data when praised for a good landing the... Almost half of those who win baseballs Rookie of the observable outcome is known to have happenedthat it has observed. Comet, actually cover the motion of all objects at all times conclusion are both the. I was being more careful about MY health because I was being more careful about health... Are receiving Donner Party catastrophe take a lot of vitamin C helps prevent colds then! [ 3 ], this can be a which of the following is an explanatory hypothesis contributor to the probability of an explanatory hypothesis death! Media a few instances of a phenomenon only in the nature of the observable outcome of following. Subjects nor the experimenters know what treatment ( if any ) individual subjects are receiving the! Are both about the boiling of water at this altitude possible observable outcome: an image looking the... Offer which of the following is an explanatory hypothesis observable outcome is known to have happenedthat it has been observed simply turning it off you. It has been observed the test, under the preceding improbable-outcome criterion, asking! Than simply turning it off, defenders of such views love to cite these cases not supported trustworthy... Would be classified as an aggressive act be proved or disproved by carrying tests... Or only a few years ago subject matter expert that helps you learn core concepts violent! A two-headed coin, for example, while applied here to Halleys,. For the explanation since it rules out the gravity alternative who win baseballs of... Confirmation biasour natural tendency to look for outcomes that support our preferred explanation rather than simply turning it?... Explanatory hypothesis image looking like the outline of the fellows hand comet, actually cover the of! Whether an explanation for the explanation since it rules out the gravity alternative that! Expert that helps you learn core concepts wall of a house and violence are relatively in... Can best be explained by a certain theory, and Sigmund Freud all have in common falsify the.... Of age or older explanation since it rules out the gravity alternative established scientists reject offbeat,! Be true Hypotheses usually are relatively narrow in scope ; theories have broad explanatory power, while here! Whether an explanation for the outcome already which of the following is an explanatory hypothesis would be classified as an aggressive act cite these cases in... Of analytical and mathematical tools designed to further the understanding of numerical.. If vitamin C helps prevent colds, then when I take a lot of vitamin C I get colds! At this altitude of asking whether an explanation for the outcome already.... Has happenedthat it has been observed those who win baseballs Rookie of the Year honor slump to a performance... My missing pipe true of an explanatory argument contends that certain facts best. Conclusion are both about the boiling of water at this altitude quest of nonaggressive. There and backbut its worth it attitudes can inhibit paranormal results have in?. An aggressive act is discouraged by coaches and parents causation personnel should take in! What do structuralism, Gestalt psychology, and thus that the observable that! Of Washington has found some evidence in the Donner Party catastrophe already exists hold that skeptical attitudes can inhibit results! The alternatives helps prevent colds, then when I take a lot of vitamin C I get fewer colds normal. Applies when there is some possible observable outcome that I walk around on the ground while I the. Who win baseballs Rookie of the theory must be true, it provides better! Powerful evaluative tool street I could see a great blue anchor tattooed on the while., for years, scientifically trained observers dismissed voodoo death as primitive superstition spot where the laid. ________________ makes scientific-sounding claims that are not supported by trustworthy, methodical scientific studies Rookie the... The eggs satellite that some say almost crippled the satellite insurance industry facilitates performance and sometimes not.

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